Chile industry and market trends

Chile's real GDP is expected to contract by 1% in 2023, according to projection by the IMF. This is largely due to economic normalization after a 2.4% expansion in 2022, driving by the huge fiscal stimulus and pension withdrawals.
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Chile''s real GDP is expected to contract by 1% in 2023, according to projection by the IMF. This is largely due to economic normalization after a 2.4% expansion in 2022, driving by the huge fiscal stimulus and pension withdrawals.

The snapshot offers a concise summary of Chile''s economic trends and prospects, drawing from the OECD Economic Survey, Economic Outlook, and Economic Policy Reform: Going for Growth reports, delivering in-depth analyses of economic trends, suggested policy recommendations, alongside an overview of structural policy developments.

Market Overview. Chile continues to be a strong trading partner and export market for U.S. companies, largely due to its open market policies, zero tariffs, solid business practices, and low corruption index. The country''s history of economic and political stability, transparency, and strong democratic institutions, allows for political

While Chile''s economy has been historically strong, GDP decreased slightly between 2014 and 2016, and again in 2020, due to falling growth rates. Around the same time, other economic indicators...

Chile is a relatively small country situated along the western seaboard of South America. While it only accounts for about 3% of the population in the Latin America & Caribbean region, it however contributes a much larger share of the economy at 5.8%. The GDP per capita is also quite high, which is around 16 thousands or  second highest in the non-Caribbean Latin American economies

It has a well-educated workforce and an attractive quality of life that draws in migrants. Its success in non-traditional productive sectors such as agro-industry, fisheries, and high technology will continue to contribute to the country’s growth. Despite this, Chile’s economy remains dependent on commodity exports, with copper and lithium being its primary exports. The country’s success in diversifying its economy is significant, but it remains vulnerable to fluctuations in international demand and prices.

Chile’s demographic outlook is unfavorable, with a low birth rate and an aging population profile leading to a shrinking working-age population. Even with immigration, the old-age dependency ratio is set to increase, leading to slower long-term growth prospects. However, the green energy transition will be a significant growth driver, given Chile’s status as the world’s largest copper producer and the second-largest producer of lithium, with the world’s largest reserves of both minerals.

Chile’s large network of FTAs and investment treaties, as well as its tourism promotion campaigns, will continue to boost its non-traditional export industries and service exports. With its open and liquid capital markets, Chile is the most developed financial center in the region, with ample cross-border opportunities in banking, insurance, and securities markets arising from deeper regional integration.

Chile’s long-standing pro-market policy direction is weakening as political polarization impedes consensus-building, and there is a growing demand for greater state provision of social services and efforts to reduce income inequality and tackle climate change. This trend will lead to increased taxation and greater regulation over resources, especially water, and give more decision-making power to local communities, particularly indigenous groups.

However, with growth in the working-age population slowing, economic expansion will become more dependent on productivity gains and less on the contribution of labor. Educational reform aimed at improving the quality of the education system and augmenting the availability of skilled labor will increase Chile’s growth potential, but it will be difficult to achieve. According to IMF projection, it is likely that Chile will maintain a GDP growth rate of 2.2-2.5% over this decade.

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The latest GDP update was in October 2023, updating the data on the contribution of GDP output in various sectors for the year 2022, as a proportion of the total GDP. The data is sourced from the World Bank, IMF, and local government statistics. Predictions on the sources of GDP contribution are from the EIU.

Chile’s political history saw 20 years of center-left rule, followed by a center-right coalition’s win in the 2010 presidential election. The center-right and center-left alternated in power until the 2021 election, which saw Gabriel Boric of the left-wing Apruebo Dignidad coalition win. He took office in March 2022. Chile has a presidential system with a bicameral legislature and 15 regions, 54 provinces, and 346 municipalities.

Chile continues to be a strong trading partner and export market for U.S. companies, largely due to its open market policies, zero tariffs, solid business practices, and low corruption index. The country''s history of economic and political stability, transparency, and strong democratic institutions, allows for political discourse, public protests, and peaceful elections.

About Chile industry and market trends

About Chile industry and market trends

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